Sustainability · Intelligence

Recycling Risk Scanner — MRF Optical-Sorting Outcomes by Market

Will your pack actually get sorted for recycling, or lost as contamination? The scanner shows optical-sorting (MRF) outcomes for your material across the US, EU, UK, Canada, Mexico and Brazil, with the reason for each.

What Recycling Risk Scanner does

Being technically recyclable isn't the same as being sorted. The scanner rates how your material behaves at the Materials Recovery Facility (MRF) — green (sorted), amber (variable), red (lost as contamination) — across six markets, and names the reason, from NIR misreads on multilayer laminates to patchy kerbside glass capture.

How it works

  1. Select your material

    Pick the substrate — mono-BOPP, 3-layer laminate, rPET thermoform, glass and more.

  2. Read the market grid

    Each of the six markets shows green, amber or red for how the pack sorts at its MRFs.

  3. Check the reason

    Every non-green outcome names why — mixed polymers failing sortation, foam jamming sorters, compostables read as contamination.

  4. Redesign before committing

    Use the verdict to switch to a mono-material or MRF-friendly construction before tooling up.

Frequently asked

My packaging is labelled recyclable — why would it fail?

A material can be recyclable in principle yet get lost at the MRF: multilayer laminates can't be delaminated, foams jam sorters, and compostables read as PET/PE to near-infrared sensors and are pulled as contamination. The scanner shows the real sortation outcome.

Why do outcomes differ by country?

Sortation infrastructure varies. Bottle-bank glass capture is strong in the EU/UK but patchy for kerbside glass in the US, Canada, Mexico and Brazil, so the same material can grade green in one market and amber in another.

What does amber mean?

Variable — the pack is sorted in some facilities or streams but not reliably across the market, often because separation (e.g. rPET thermoform from cardback) is inconsistent.

How does this differ from the Market Recyclability tool?

This scanner focuses on MRF optical sortation — will the machine sort it. Market Recyclability looks at whether the material is actually collected and processed end-to-end in each country.

Related on OPN

Stand-up pouch indexView →
Folding carton indexView →
Material Swap GuideView →
Market RecyclabilityView →

Every figure is served from the PackIndex data layer. Verify against current program schedules and supplier quotes before committing.

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