The Negotiation Context
Corrugated converters are currently seeking 10-15% price increases citing OCC and energy input cost pressures. PackIndex data tells a more precise story — one that gives buyers a specific, defensible counter-position.
What the Data Actually Shows
| Input | Actual move (YoY) | Converter claim | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| OCC | +18.2% | Foundation of request | Real |
| Kraftliner | +9.3% | Foundation of request | Real |
| NBP Gas | +16.9% | "Energy costs up significantly" | Real |
| CORR Index total | +13.8% | "Costs up 10-15%" | 0-1% overstated |
The headline is accurate. But the composition matters. OCC is 42-45% of corrugated BOM, not 100%. Energy is 15-18%. The blended cost increase is 8-11% — not 13-15%.
The Three Arguments
Argument 1: The BOM-weighted increase "Our analysis using PackIndex BOM weights shows blended input cost increase of 9.2%. We accept an 8-10% adjustment, not 12-15%."
Argument 2: The energy lag "NBP gas eased 4.1% in February. Mill energy contracts locked at Q4 peak roll off in Q2. We expect an energy component reversal by Q3 — we want that reflected in the contract."
Argument 3: Index-linkage going forward "Rather than negotiate a fixed price annually, we propose PackIndex CORR index-linked pricing with a ±8% cap/collar, reviewed quarterly. This removes the annual negotiation overhead and protects both sides."
How to Use PackIndex in the Room
- Pull the CORR 12-week sparkline — show the exact price path
- Run Quote Checker on the proposed new price — get a COMPETITIVE / HIGH / OVERPRICED verdict
- Use Negotiation Brief agent — generates a full structured brief with specific index evidence in 60 seconds
Professional subscribers identify average $43k/year in procurement savings through benchmark-validated negotiations. The ROI on a Professional subscription is typically achieved in the first negotiation.
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